Labor's post-mortem names four WA federal seats it fears losing to One Nation
In the wake of the Secret Harbour rout, Albanese government figures are privately conceding fears for Pearce, Brand, Hasluck, and Bullwinkel in Perth's southern corridor ahead of the 2028 federal election. This matters because it reframes a state by-election as a live threat to the federal government's WA base, the foundation of its 2022 and 2025 majorities. Listen for what strategists say they'll learn from Victoria's coming state election and why some Labor MPs were relieved Albanese stayed away from the campaign.
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One Nation secured thirty-nine percent of the primary vote to win its first Western Australian lower-house seat.
Labor suffered a seventeen point five point swing in the suburban mortgage-belt district of Secret Harbour.
High population churn and housing pressures are weakening traditional partisan loyalty in outer-suburban communities.
Labor strategists fear losing the federal seats of Pearce, Brand, Hasluck, and Bullwinkel to One Nation.
One Nation is expanding its reach by contesting nearly all seats in the upcoming Victorian state election.
Polling suggests One Nation is becoming a viable third option for voters frustrated with the major parties.
- 01Intro1 min
- 02The Secret Harbour Autopsy2 min
- 03The Federal Contagion2 min
- 04Proof of Concept: From Farrer to Victoria3 min
- 05Outro1 min
- One Nation’s Secret Harbour byelection win shows Labor is at a loss when it comes to calming angry voters | Analysis
- 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election
- One Nation secures historic victory in Secret Harbour by-election
- 'Orange tsunami' in WA Labor heartland sends shock wave around country
- One Nation claims victory in Secret Harbour byelection in Western Australia
- Secret Harbour by-election: One Nation secures first lower house seat in WA, sending shockwaves across nation
- One Nation faces its first real test in WA in high-stakes ...
- What the Secret Harbour by-election means for Western Australia and the nation
- ‘People have had enough’: One Nation have WA premier in their sights after stunning by-election victory in Perth
- Protest at One Nation fundraiser after Vic leader, candidates announced
- The battle for Victoria will send important signals to federal players
- With wind in its sails, One Nation looks to replicate Farrer success in Victoria
- One Nation has locked up 76 candidates for Victoria
- Divisional classifications
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