The shrinking world: what falling birth rates do to economies built on growth

The shrinking world: what falling birth rates do to economies built on growth

An exploration of the global fertility decline and its impact on the fundamental mechanics of economic growth, pension systems, and innovation.

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Show notes

Shrinking labor pools increase worker bargaining power and wages as the demographic dividend ends.

The global population over sixty-five has tripled since nineteen fifty, straining the intergenerational welfare contract.

Semiconductor research now requires eighteen times more staff than the nineteen seventies to maintain innovation rates.

Japan uses high-value automation and robotics to sustain its economy despite a shrinking workforce.

Seventy-year-olds in twenty twenty-two matched the cognitive abilities of fifty-three-year-olds from the year two thousand.

Global population peaking by the twenty-eighties could reduce carbon emissions and environmental pressure.

In this episode
  1. 01Intro1 min
  2. 02The End of the Demographic Dividend3 min
  3. 03The Arithmetic of the Welfare State3 min
  4. 04The Empty Planet Scenario2 min
  5. 05Adaptation and the New Equilibrium3 min
  6. 06Outro1 min
Sources
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